What is Türkiye's pathway to limit global warming to 1.5°C?
Industry
Energy related emissions in the Turkish industrial sector increased by 115% between 1990 and 2019, from 38 MtCO₂e to about 83 MtCO₂e. The share of coal in the sector’s energy mix declined from 41% to 24%, and the share of electricity and heat increased from 21% to 31% and 0.1% to 4%, respectively. However, at the same time, the share of fossil gas increased dramatically from 4% to 30%.
Türkiye's energy mix in the industry sector
petajoule per year
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector.
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Graph description
Energy mix composition in the industry sector in consumption (EJ) and shares (%) for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on selected IPCC SR1.5 global least costs pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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A full decarbonisation of Türkiye’s industrial sector would be possible between 2048 and 2050 if the sector achieved a 59%–71% electrification by 2040, and 67%–79% by 2050.
Emissions from industrial processes nearly tripled from 23 MtCO₂e in 1990 to 66.8 MtCO₂e in 2020.10 To align with 1.5°C pathways, process-related emissions would need to fall from their current level of about 67 MtCO₂e to at most 52 MtCO₂e in 2030 and 35 MtCO₂e in 2050.
The National Energy Efficiency Action Plan sets a target for reducing energy intensity of industrial processes by 10% by 2023. It also proposes low interest loans to increase energy efficiency as well as increasing cogeneration capabilities at industrial sites with heat requirements exceeding 20 MW.1
Türkiye's industry sector direct CO₂ emissions (of energy demand)
MtCO₂/yr
Direct CO₂ emissions only are considered (see power sector for electricity related emissions, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here).
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Graph description
Direct CO₂ emissions of the industry sector in selected 1.5°C compatible pathways.
Methodology
Data References
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Türkiye's GHG emissions from industrial processes
MtCO₂e/yr
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Graph description
1.5°C compatible CO₂ emissions pathways. This is presented through a set of illustrative pathways and a 1.5°C compatible range for total CO₂ emissions excl. LULUCF. The 1.5°C compatible range is based on global cost-effective pathways assessed by the IPCC SR1.5, defined by the 5th and 5th percentiles.
Data References
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1.5°C compatible industry sector benchmarks
Direct CO₂ emissions, shares of electricity, and combined shares of electricity, hydrogen and biomass from illustrative 1.5°C pathways for Türkiye
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
Decarbonised industry sector by
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Direct CO₂ emissions
MtCO₂/yr
|
83
|
27 to
40
|
12 to
21
|
1 to
5
|
2048 to
2050
|
|
Relative to reference year in %
|
-68 to
-52%
|
-86 to
-75%
|
-98 to
-94%
|
| Indicator |
2019
|
2030
|
2040
|
2050
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Share of electricity
per cent
|
31
|
36 to
54
|
59 to
71
|
67 to
79
|
|
Share of electricity, hydrogren and biomass
per cent
|
31
|
45 to
54
|
72 to
74
|
80 to
82
|
Fuel share provided refers to energy demand only from the industry sector. BECCS are the only Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies considered in these benchmarks.
Only direct CO₂ emissions are considered (electricity, hydrogen and heat emissions are not considered here; see power sector for emissions from electricity generation). All values are rounded. Year of full decarbonisation is based on carbon intenstiy threshold of 5gCO₂/MJ.
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Methodology
Data References
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